X General conclusions
1) Environment probabilistic action.
At the end of
our study, we can conclude that our model sees its credibility supported by a
beam of evidence and solid factual arguments. The selective mass extinctions at
the KT limit and the four other more significant, the acme and the Dinosaurs
disappearance, the "cambrian explosion", constitute the probabilistic
effect of the calcium stimulus most convincing arguments. The hominisation
process and the ecoumene current settlement, with their paleontological and
geographical correlations, validate the iodine stimulus probabilistic influence
assumption. The parallelism between the increase in the PO2 P.A.L. rate and the
biological and respiratory systems evolution also testifies, without any
ambiguity, of the influence of the probabilistic oxygen stimulus. .
If, as we tried
to show it, the chemical stimuli like calcium, iodine, oxygen, seem to play a
major role in the biological evolution, it is probable that a great number of
other chemical elements, or stimuli, like carbon, hydrogen, nitrogen and others
less abundant exert a considerable or appreciable probabilistic influence. In
the same way, many probabilistic couples, physical stimuli/physiological
réactions, had to play a significant role in the evolution: électromagnetic
waves/vision, sonorous waves/hearing, pheromones/sense of smell, etc... All
these parameters are part of a probabilistic context more vast and complex, the
general environmental conditions, where many factors intervene more or less,
according to circumstances (climatic, courantologic, sedimentological factors,
orogeny and volcanicity, transgressions and regressions, ecosystems, available
niches, insulation, mechanical constraints on the anatomical characters,
etc...).The environment/organisms interaction is total and is exerted simultaneously
on distant sub-kingdoms (calcium on the Invertebrates and the Vertebrates,
oxygen on the sub-kingdoms major part). We will examine in paragraph 9 the
genome influence in this interaction.
2) Probability and chance
A few words
about chance. The probability concept is opposed to the determinism concept
(Laplace 1814) which refers to a strict causality whereas, in the probability,
the causal relation is looser and the foreseeability statistical. The
statistical probability has, nevertheless, nothing in common run with the
chance which is pure contingency, unpredictability and which one can define as
the two independent causal series meeting (Cournot 1843). Thus, in the mass
extinction at the KT limit, the meteoric shock assumption (Alvarez 1980) arises
from the pure contingency and is the result, a priori unforeseeable, of two
independent trajectories meeting, those of the earth and a meteorite. In the
probabilistic model, the phenomenon is interpreted by the calcium stimulus
probabilistic influence on the organisms (Vertebrates and Invertebrates), which
appears at the same time by the organisms acme and disappearance with
significant calcic metabolism, the extinctions selectivity, the Dinosaurs
radiation and extinction (with its paleogeographic locations), etc... All these
facts are unexplainable in the models based on chance, which take into account
only the extinctions, without their selectivity, and ignore completely the
former radiation phenomena. The same argumentation applies in the biological and
respiratory systems chronological emergence phenomena, in many sub-kingdoms ,
in relation to the PO2 P.A.L. stimulus oxygen growth. It is the same, as we
highlighted, in the correlation between the iodine stimulus and the volume
Hominids brain evolution.
3) Evolution complexification
Biological
evolution, from the eubacteria and archaebacteria (Woese 1977 - 1998) (Lake
1983), until the " higher " Primates, like the species Homo sapiens,
cannot be described as progressive without being put forth a judgment of value.
One can nevertheless observe, as well in the unicellular world as that of
multicellular, a general tendency to complexification. This one is irregular,
in mosaic, sometimes regressive, and appears by organism plans historically
more and more complex, for example, at the metazoa, the triploblastic states
after the diploblastic states, the coelomates after the acoelomates, the
Mammals and the Birds endothermy after the Reptiles ectothermy. This historical
evolution of the sub-kingdoms and classes, irregular but clear , towards an
increasing complexification, is in phase with the probabilistic model where the
events occur, statistically, according to the probabilities law, from most at
least probable, proportionally with their chances. A simple organism (or an
event) has more chance, or probability, to occur that a complex, or less
probable event.
4) The adaptation
The mere fact of
being alive implies, for an organism, to be adapted. Life is adaptation. One
can define the adaptation as an organism adjustment in the medium constraints. This
adjustment applies to the various biological levels, as well macroscopic as
molecular: morphological (legs, wings, fins...), metabolic (breathing,
nutrition, excretion...), histological (gills, lungs, tracheas, stomachs,
kidneys...), genetic (genome and genetic code, enzymes etc...).
The S.T.E.
(Synthetic Theory of the Evolution), the current standard evolution model,
founded on enrichment, by the populations genetics and the molecular biology,
the darwinian diagram, explains the evolution by two factors: 1) genetic
variation by randomly genome mutations 2) the favorable mutations natural
selection which ensures the adaptation (Dozhbansky, Mayr 1993). A
"supersynthesis", elaborate with the eucaryote organisms molecular
genetics assets interprets the evolution by organic integration various levels
(Armand de Ricqlès).
The
probabilistic evolution model proposes a probabilistic interaction between the
whole environment stimuli variations and the organisms reactions, among the
possible choice (François Jacob 1981). This interaction was illustrated by the
several chemical stimuli variation study (Ca, I, O) and its effects on that of
the organisms. If the probabilistic model proposes a credible alternative to
the organisms evolution based on the favorable random genetic mutations natural
selection, this alternative seems insufficient to explain the organisms
adaptation general phenomenon. The recourse to other concepts seems essential
to us.
5) A necessary concept: the optimization
Principle
Physical
sciences very whole are dominated by conservation principles. Movement is
preserved: inertia law or first Newton's law, kinetic moment conservation,
angular momentum, etc... Energy is preserved, with the quantum reserves near:
electric, kinetic, chemical energy conservation or transformation, etc... Physical
constants : c, G, h
Parallel to the
conservation principles, the physical phenomena modelisation is interpreted in
terms of principles of economy or optimization. In the einsteinian gravitation,
the Newton's law, dynamic concept, is replaced by a kinematic concept, the
space-time geodetic (the shortest trajectory traversed by a test particle in a
four-dimensional space more or less curved by the masses and energy). Quantum
physics uses the energy concept minimal fundamental level (nonexcited atom
state). In quantum mechanics, the Planck quantum action h, minimal action, is
all the physical phenomena cornerstone. In traditional mechanics, the less
action Maupertuis Principle dominates. This Principle importance is found in
the quantum electrodynamics where the movement equations, in the fields
theories, rise from a less quantum action Principle (Hildebrandt 1998). In
these various fields, movement, energy, action are minimal. What one can
translates into an economy or optimization physical phenomena Principle.
We postulate the
natural laws unicity. All the projections in knowledge indicate that there is
not solution of continuity between the life field and that of the inanimate
matter. The laws which govern physics or the inorganic and organic chemistry
apply as well to molecular biology and, more largely, to biochemistry. There is
no difference in nature between abiotic chemistry and life chemistry but a
difference in degree, in complexity, because in particular of considerable
difference of the number of molecules which intervene in the chemical reactions
of both fields. If an economy, or optimization Principle, the physical
phenomena dominates, it thus seems legitimate to extend it to the biological
phenomena.
The biological
processes interpretation is, historically, of finalist and utilitarian nature
(organs and functions, i.e. organs activity for an end, rather than structures
and their properties). This interpretation leads directly to the natural
selection concept, i.e. with the primacy, in the alive evolution, of
advantageous processes, morphologies or organisms (mutations, phenotypes,
species). It constitutes a true value judgment and seems a concept with first
degree of the alive. It is comparable to the concept, also with the first
degree, of the gravitation by the Newton's attraction. With the second degree,
the gravitation arises like a curve of four-dimensional space-time simple
property. In parallel, interpretation, with the second degree, from the
organisms evolution, arises with the probability concept.
In any event,
the biological evolution leads to an adaptation of the organisms.
We thus propose
an optimization Principle existence (or economy) specific to the biological
phenomena complexity. This optimization Principle represents an economy or optimization
various physical principles biological synthesis, and in particular of less
action or minimal action. This optimization Principle relates to all the
biological levels, molecular as cellular, macroscopic, metabolic, histological,
morphological, physiological, or even behavioral. This total optimization
resultant has as a consequence the biological processes major phenomenon: the
adaptation.
According to our
model, the adaptation, on all the biological processes levels , rises from the
optimization Principle existence. Under this Principle terms, the organisms, as
entities, just as their parts (anatomical, physiological, cellular, genetic...)
function in an overall optimal way. It is clear that this optimization is a
compromise, which has as limits the constraints, at the same time medium and
organism itself. The mechanisms implemented in this biological processes
optimization are multiple (enzymatic, molecular, histological actions and
feedbacks...)..
6) The optimization Principle in work
Since 4,6
billion years, age with which one credits the earth, the earth's crust is the
various parameters, chemical ceaseless modifications theatre (Si, Ca, O, I, C,
N, H, etc...), physics (volcanicity, tectonics, orogeny), ecological
(transgressions and regressions, glaciations and warming up, ecosystems),
etc... These environment parameters variations exerted a probabilistic action
on the living organisms, as we endeavoured to show it. The organisms reactions
appeared by multiple and complex answers (exoskeletons and endoskeletons,
encephalisation, aerobiosis and respiratory systems). According to the
optimization Principle, the organisms probabilistic reactions to the
environmental variations are optimizing reactions, i.e. adaptive. .
One can note
this biological processes optimization at the molecular level, since in last
analysis, they are the biological molecules properties which determine those of
the organisms. If oxygen is not essential to life (anaerobiose), " coupled
with the respiratory chain, the cycle (of Krebs) thus has the maximum
effectiveness met in biology as for the energy oxidation recuperation in the
form of A.T.P. " (Schoffeniels 1984). By glycolysis and the fermentative
way, the anaerobic cells manufacture, starting from glucose, 2 A.T.P. molecules,
whereas the same reaction, continuing with breathing in the aerobic cells,
produces 32 A.T.P. molecules (Krebs cycle oxydative phosphorylation) that is to
say 16 times more energy (Mason 1992, Robert J.Huskey 1998).
After the oxygen
rate reached, in the biosphere, towards 2 billion years, a 0,01 PO2 P.A.L.
minimum rate, appeared the first eucaryote cells using the Krebs cycle. The
procaryotic cells, whatever the eucaryote cells origin (Lynn Margulis
endosymbiose assumption 1981), reacted to the increase in the PO2 P.A.L. rate
by a metabolism optimizing evolution, the Krebs cycle, 16 times more effective
than the fermentative way. At the biochemical level, the adaptation is thus
basically an optimization process (Schoffeniels 1984). The abnormally high
mutations experiments that we quoted at the colon bacilli (Cairns, Overbaugh
and Miller 1988) and in the bacteria Escherichia coli (Barry Hall)
(Allorge-Boiteau 1991) (Chapter I), just as the appearance, in protozoa or
insects, resistance phenomena to chemicals (insecticides) or to antibiotics
interprete themselves, in an identical way, like optimization biological
processes compared to a modified environment.
All the
evolution of the Metazoa respiratory systems carries the sign of the
optimization of the biological processes. When an aquatic animal size is not
compatible any more with the deep organs oxygen supply possibility (digestive
tract, gonades...) by cutaneous respiration, devices improving transtegumentar
breathing appear: external convection (lashes, whips, chooanocytes Sponges,
endodermal cells at Hydrozoa, siphonoglyphes cells at Anthozoa), internal
convection (circulatory apparatus with blood or hemolymph at Coelomates),
respiratory pigments synthesis at advanced Metazoa (Vertebrates haemoglobins,
Molluscs and Arthropoda haemocyanins). The branchial breathing, external or
intern, which appears, historically, more tardily than the cutaneous
respiration at watery Metazoa, constitutes the most powerful system to meet the
requirements out of oxygen for the big size organisms. Among the animals with
air breathing, the trachean apparatus represents, in the Arthropoda, the
Invertebrates sub-kingdom adapted best to the terrestrial life, a particularly
powerful respiratory system, carrying out an effective compromise between the
tissues requirements cover out of oxygen and the risks for dehydration. The
Amniotes breathing apparatus, except for that of the Birds, is characterized by
improvements such as the pulmonary epithelium increasingly pushed alveolation,
or the air conducting system individualization (trachea, bronchi, bronchioles).
These improvements confer a great effectiveness, especially at the homeotherm
species (Mammals), for which the requirements out of oxygen are considerable. The
Birds lung does not have alveoli but its bronchial ways constitute a true
tubular network. They have air bags which take part in the air circulation in
the pulmonary apparatus. All these devices ensure, during the flight, the
considerable supply oxygen required by an intense muscular activity and
sometimes of long duration (migrations). (Turquier1994). It was shown that, for
breathing at high altitude, the Birds breathing apparatus effectiveness is much
higher than that of the mammalien lung (Tucker 1968).
The optimization
of the Metazoa respiratory systems, as well watery (cutaneous respiration
and/or branchial, external or internal) as terrestrial (trachean and/or
pulmonary systems), allowed them to conquer all the elements. If one excludes
any finalist design from progress in the biological evolution, one can only
note one complexification of the organisms and a frequent improvement (in a
greater effectiveness direction) of the structures and operations (coelome,
hemal system, homeothermy). In many fields, the biological evolution
optimization allowed the transformation, towards more effectiveness, anatomical
devices or existing physiological processes; thus the liquid circulating
damming up in a closed circulatory apparatus (Nemertea, Annelids, Cephalocords,
Vertebrates) (Turquier 1994). The blood circulation defect in the Amphibia,
which appear in higher Devonian is the vitiated and oxygenated bloods mixture. This
defect is corrected in the Reptiles, known starting from the superior
Carboniferous, by a double circulation (pulmonary, of regeneration and aortic,
of use), optimizing device which carries out a complete separation between
vitiated and regenerated bloods (Bailenger 1989). Optimization can appear by an
increased independence with respect to the medium (the endothermic homeothermy,
Birds and Mammals) or simple correlations between environmental factors and
morphological characteristics: the molars surface transformation, at the horse
ancestor, and a feeding based on grass in the place of a feeding containing
foliages (adaptive radiations according to G.G. Simpson). Also let us quote,
among many remarkable adaptations the oxygen storage optimization by the
Weddell seal, highly skilled plunger (Zapol 1988).
Like any
Principle, the optimization Principle, like the natural selection Principle, is
undemonstrable. It is a postulate. It is valuable only thanks to its fecondity
and as long as it is not contradicted by the facts (Popper 1980). It is
presented in an alternative the form to the natural selection Principle. This
one is supposed to sort out, among the genetic variations, those which are
favorable to the individual or the species, when they are not neutral (Kimura
1990). It is to give, in spite its partisans vigorous denials (Mayr 1993 -
2000), a finalist significance with the biological phenomena, directing them
towards a panglossian end (Gould, Lewontin 1979).
The biological
processes optimization is not registered like a isolated law from the alive
world. It is only the synthetic expression, in the biological universe, of a
general phenomenon, the physical phenomena optimization (movement, energy,
action).
7) The optimization Principle and probability
The optimization
Principle, that we propose, is thus a synthetic principle of the economy of the
means, ensuring the adaptation of organisms. What are its relationship with the
probability concept ?
As we pointed
out it (Chapter I), the probability theory is based on the great figures law or
Bernoulli law (1680), than one can summarily translate as follows: the
"events", of which the probability or the chances are very weak, do
not occur and, vice versa, those of which the probability or the chances are
high occur. The probability is a strong but nonabsolute causality factor,
transcending the causes or conditions multiplicity, which seem secondary
(object physical or chemical constitution, jet force, height, duration, etc...
in a coin or a die examples, thrown in the air). The probability orders and
simplifies the "events": the result of the throws, according to their
mathematical chances, in fact 1/2 or 1/6.
Ultimately, the
probability selects, among the many parameters which condition an
"event" production (in the above mentioned examples, the object
structure, chemical composition, kinetic energy, etc...), only one parameter,
the faces object number (2 or 6), which simplifies the phenomenon and
determines the mathematical chances to which the Bernoulli law applies. One
notes thus that, in the probability theory, one finds the economy or
optimization process, which we highlighted in the movement, energy and action
physical phenomena. If such is the case, it is not surprising that, in the
evolution biological processes, integrated in a probabilistic model, we note
the existence of an economy or optimization specific biological process, that
we indicated under the optimization Principle term and who ensures the
organisms adaptation.
The optimization
Principle globalise, by the great figures Bernoulli law means, in the
biological field, the economy principles which govern the general physical
phenomena (the shortest movement, minimal energy, less action). The
optimization Principle thus appears, in last analysis, like the probability
theory biological synthetic expression, applied to the biological processes.
8) The S.T.E. and the evolution probabilistic
model
Today, the
S.T.E. (Synthetic Theory of the Evolution) constitutes, the standard model for
the explanation of the evolution. The darwinian theory merit is to have
proposed, in the nineteenth century, a credible theory of the vast evolution of
organized beings. The natural selection is the result many centuries (if not
millenia) where the biological concepts were based on anthropomorphic concepts
(advantages), finalists (organs and functions) and, ultimately, value
judgments. The S.T.E. reorientated towards rigorous and fertile disciplines,
like the genetics of the populations, cellular biology or molecular biology but
the original finalism sin persists. The adaptation, evolution engine, always
arise, in the S.T.E., like a utility concept. The need for apprehending the
biological phenomena without a priori finalist appears impossible to
circumvent. To speak, for example, of the melanin "role", rather than
of its properties, scientifically seems to us an unacceptable finalist drift. It
is obvious that such a proposal cannot be accepted without a huge resistance. It
runs up against centuries, if not millenia, of teleological attitude. One must
however regard it as inescapable, if one wishes the neutral biological sciences
existence, i.e. free from presupposed finalists.
On the
explanatory level, the reproach which is generally made with the S.T.E., is its
insufficiency to account for macro and the megaevolution. Anagenese, according
to the adaptive zone changes, cladogenese according to the new ecological
niches occupation, gradualism or punctuated balances find their origin in the
genome random mutations (Tintant 1983). Those, which intervene in the
speciation processes, have a very insufficient explanatory capacity with regard
to the classes and the sub-kingdoms chronology appearance. The most current
phyla origin in basal and middle Cambrian, with or without skeleton (certain
authors consider the appearance at that time from 60 to 100 Baupläne, Valentine
1986), does not find its place in the S.T.E. It is the same for the mass
extinctions, the evolution general tendency towards more complexity,
effectiveness and independence with respect to the medium (diploblastic,
triploblastic organisms, amniotes, homeotherms). All these major phenomena
escape the standard model from the S.T.E. The correlations which we established
between certain environment parameters (Ca, I, O) and the induced biodiversity
evolution do not find either an explanation within the S.T.E. framework.
We thus propose,
as an alternative to the S.T.E., a probabilistic interaction model between the
environmental evolution and the evolution of the organisms. It is clear that
the environment parameters are not reduced to the only chemical stimuli which
we studied but extend to all those which are significant (C, N, H, P, S... to
quote only some of them), with the physical stimuli (electromagnetic waves,
sound waves and vibrations, pheromones, temperatures, etc...), with the varied
ecological situations, the beasts of preys/preys relations, etc...
The biosphere
environment is infinitely complex and is at all the levels, as well macroscopic
as molecular. The organisms reaction to the environmental factors influence is
multiple and varied (radiation and disappearance significant calcic metabolism
organisms, encephalisation, watery or air respiratory systems, etc...). It is
located as well at the genome level as behavior, with that of molecular
biology, embryogenesis and anatomical structures.
The relation
between the environmental parameters and the organisms, such as we propose it,
is of probabilistic nature. The probabilistic model interprets the evolution
major events (i.e. the macro one and the megaevolution), but also speciations,
like the couple environment/organisms interactions resultant of the
probabilistic influence, in an environment in perpetual modification:
"cambrian explosion", radiations and mass extinctions, respiratory
systems anatomical and physiological transformations...
Contrary to the
S.T.E., where the genetic variations interest only populations or species, the
probabilistic model integrate collective phenomena affecting simultaneously
distant classes and phyla (Invertebrates and Vertebrates). In the S.T.E., the
natural selection sorts, among the random genetic mutations, those which are
favorable to the individual or the species (the Dawkins egoistic gene 1990). The
result of this choice is adaptation. In the probabilistic model, the evolution
of the organisms is a reaction to the environmental evolution. This reaction is
probabilist and optimal. It is necessarily located at the genome level,
organism memory and engine, by environmental directed mutations, chemical,
physical, or other parameters. We saw (paragraph 6, Allorge-Boiteau 1991) the
observation of colon bacilli and bacteria Escherichia coli optimizing mutations
caused by a modified environment. The probabilistic model escapes the finalist
critic from the S.T.E. The probability and optimization (or economy) concepts
are neutral, objective and constant concepts in sciences of nature. As we tried
to show it in three chemical examples (Ca, I and O), they offer a remarkable
explanatory capacity.
9) Genome
and probabilistic model
The biological
evolution probabilistic model stresses the environment influence and its
variations. The S.T.E. is primarily based on the genome random mutations and
the favorable mutations perennisation by the natural selection to ensure the
adaptation of the organisms to a changing environment.
The darwinian
model is a model where the organism internal factors, the random genetic
mutations, are at the origin of the evolution directed by the natural
selection. Among these random mutations, some are neutral, others are lethal,
others are regarded as advantageous and thus retained by the natural selection
which ensures the organisms adaptation. We will not extend on this point which
caused violent controversies. One can simply point out that mutations, of
strictly internal origin, which converge opportunely with environment
modifications (increase in the calcium, iodine or oxygen rate) approach
strangely miraculous coincidences. Whereas, in the probabilistic model, this
convergence is directly induced by the organisms reaction to the influence of
the environment stimuli.
The
probabilistic model is a model where the evolution engines are primarily
external. The environment parameters influence passes nevertheless,
necessarily, by the genome modification and thus of the genetic mutations. Whereas
in the S.T.E., those are strictly random, in the probabilistic model, they
represent the reaction of the organisms, via the genotype and the phenotype,
with the variations of environment parameters. We saw higher than genetic
mutations can be induced by environment modifications. Contrary to the S.T.E.
model, in the probabilistic model, the evolutionary genetic mutations are not
at random but are directed, in a probabilistic way. As we showed it, the
phenotypical evolutions can be dated, chronologically, by the environmental
parameters variations (PO2 P.A.L. rate growth, calcium stimulus influence in
radiations and mass extinctions, "cambrian explosion", etc...) and
thus, a posteriori, the genetic corresponding mutations.
10) S.T.E. integration with the probabilistic
model
The
probabilistic model is not opposed to the S.T.E. and with its assets: genetic
mutations, mutations rate, the populations genetics, population cages
experiments (Dobzhansky), etc... It integrates the S.T.E. while interpreting,
in a different way, the relations between organisms and environment. According
to the S.T.E., the permanent interaction between the random genetic variations
and the natural selection, which sorts the favorable variations, ensures the
organisms adaptation to the medium. According to the probabilistic model, the
permanent interaction between the organisms and a fluctuating environment,
direct the genetic mutations. This interaction, not finalist, of probabilistic
and optimal nature, ensure the organisms adaptation to their environment. The
S.T.E. thus interprets the population cages experiments results like the most
suited survival (value judgment). The probabilistic model integrates these
facts, by interpreting them in a different way, objectifies, like the
probability theory resultant. Individuals, or species, whose mathematical
survival chances are largest, by their robustness, or all other factors, is
those which survive. Thus, fecondity, as many other favours, is not interpreted
anymore, in the probabilistic model, as an advantage which perrenializes the
individual or the species, but like an increase in the mathematical chances of
survival. Individuals, or the species, whose mathematical survival chances are
weaker (more fragile, more vulnerable, less fertile, etc...), are eliminated. It
is the simple application of the great figures law, in these experiments.
Like
einsteinian relativity absorbed the newtonian gravitation, the probabilistic
model integrates the S.T.E. genetic variations and their prolongations,
mutations rate, populations genetics... by directing them and in substituing to
a finalist logic, natural selection, a neutral logic, probabilistic and
optimizing. This probabilistic logic is found in the Biston betuleria
traditional example. This probabilistic logic is found in the traditional
example of Biston betularia. One of the most famous cases of natural selection
is the moth of the birch (Biston betularia), a butterfly studied by geneticist
J.B.S. Haldane. There are two alternatives of this butterfly: one with the
clear colour, the other with the dark colour (melanic form). The clear form was very
largely dominant in the middle of the XIXe century. However, a century later,
the change sinks carried in many areas. The reason is the industrial pollution,
which blackened the trunk of the birches. The clearest butterflies were more
easily located by their predatory, whereas the dark butterflies profited from
an adaptive advantage. What the S.T.E. interprets as a selective advantage, the
probabilistic model interprets like a mathematical survival chance. On a side,
a utility concept, finalist, other, a probabilistic concept. In the
probabilistic model, the darwinian "advantage" is preserved but is
interpreted in "mathematical chance" term, within the probability
theory framework. In a parallel way, all genetic favorable variations darwinian
interpretations perennialized by the natural selection pressure can and must be
interpreted in mathematical chances terms and probabilistic variations. The
same facts thus concern two different interpretations, one finalist, the other
strictly neutral and probabilistic.
In addition, the
probabilistic model exceeds speciation, privileged S.T.E field. It includes the
major biological macro and megaevolution phenomena, mass extinctions,
"cambrian explosion", environment stimuli evolution (Ca, I and O) and
organisms collective reactions chronological concomitance, of which the S.T.E.
cannot explain.
If the
probability factors have a considerable influence in the evolution, it would
seem abusive to allot to them an exhaustive role in all structures and
biological properties explanation. certain biological phenomena neutrality and
specificity cannot be neglected (neutral mutations, genetic drift, genes
connection, tissues differential growth, etc...).
Far from
allotting a panglossian orientation (Gould, Lewontin 1979) to the biological
phenomena, the probabilistic model interprets the biodiversity like the
possible worlds most probable, in a given environment. It is probable that,
just like the living matter evolution, the probability factors had to play a
decisive role in the living matter origin on the earth. A certain number of
chemical molecules availability (C, H, O, N, P), adequate physical conditions
(temperature, pressure, etc...) and other essential parameters (solar energy,
earth's crust cooling, etc...) created the conditions where the possibility of
the emergence biotic chemistry were joined together. One can thus consider that
the live emergence on the earth is not a random fact or a miracle but rather
the most probable consequence, induced by the sufficient mathematical chances
of a possible biotic chemistry, of an idoine environment.
Thus
interpreted, the living matter existence on other planets does not seems
exceptionnal but rather highly probable and banal, as soon as sufficient
conditions of probability are present.
To conclude, it
is significant to recall that the probability theory use is a constant in the
study and the modelisation of many natural phenomena. Let us quote, out of
memory, statistical mechanics, thermodynamics (in particular its second law),
the kinetic gases theory, quantum physics, the Mendel's laws in genetics,
etc...
Next : XI
References
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